
The Sweet 16 continues tonight with four massive matchups, and we’ve got a curated breakdown of the most popular sides, totals, and player props bettors are riding into the Elite 8.
At ReCover 3 Sports, every pick we make is powered by our proven 3-step model: Data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖.
We also combed through expert picks, sharp movements, and consensus prop targets across the betting space—giving you a fully curated board from every angle.
Let’s break down the four marquee matchups:
(2) Michigan State vs. (6) Ole Miss
Michigan State -3.5 — Multiple sources called this a rebounding mismatch and a defensive edge for the Spartans.
Under 141.5 Total Points — Sharps and analysts circled this as a slow-paced, halfcourt grinder.
Jase Richardson 15+ Points — Richardson has become MSU’s most consistent offensive option and should be the focal point again.
(2) Tennessee vs. (3) Kentucky
Tennessee Moneyline — Tennessee got strong support from CBS, Action Network, and bracket trends due to their defense and physicality.
Under 145.5 Total Points — Dome environment plus two physical teams made this the most mentioned under of the slate.
Zakai Zeigler 15+ Points — Zeigler has been red hot and should thrive against Kentucky’s up-tempo pace.
(1) Auburn vs. (5) Michigan
Auburn -6.5 — Auburn’s depth, tempo, and rim protection make them one of the most confidently backed teams in the Sweet 16.
Under 143.5 Total Points — Michigan’s slower tempo and Auburn’s elite defense both point toward the under.
Johni Broome 20+ Points — Broome has dominated inside all tournament and remains a mismatch for Michigan’s front line.
(1) Houston vs. (4) Purdue
Houston Moneyline — This one split analysts, but the sharpest data leaned on Houston’s defense and physicality.
Over 135.5 Total Points — Purdue’s tempo and offensive efficiency push this into over territory.
J’Wan Roberts 10+ Points — Roberts needs to step up offensively in a game where Houston will need every bucket.
📈 Final Thoughts & Trends
- Auburn -6.5 was the most confidently backed spread of the day.
- Under in Tennessee vs. Kentucky was the most commonly mentioned total.
- Jase Richardson, Zakai Zeigler, Johni Broome, and J’Wan Roberts were the most highlighted player props from our notes.
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