With just two NBA Playoff games on this Saturday slate, we went deep into the trends, usage stats, and matchup data to lock in a sharp batch of props, locks, and drops. The board featured plenty of noise — but we cut through it by sticking to what works.
Using our proven 3-step model — data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖 — we’ve locked in the top plays for today’s action.
Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
Celtics Team Total Over 104.5 Points 👍 — Boston has scored 105+ in 10 of the last 11 meetings vs New York, and this line dipped after an outlier Game 2 shooting night.
Derrick White Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds 👍 — White posted 30 and 29 P+R in the first two games and has a consistent edge defending low-usage wings like Bridges.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 Rebounds 🔒 — Towns had 13 and 17 rebounds in Games 1 and 2 with 21+ rebound chances in both. No Curry means less perimeter pressure, more boards.
Anthony Edwards Over 26.0 Points 🔒 — Ant scored 36 in Game 2 and has taken over this series. His drive volume and midrange touches remain elite.
Josh Hart Over 12.5 Points 💧 — Hart’s role can fluctuate wildly with this Knicks roster; he had just 6 points in Game 3 and saw his usage drop.
Timberwolves -5.5 Spread 💧 — Minnesota won by exactly 5, but covering this number without Curry on the floor proved tougher than expected.
📉 Final Thoughts/Trend Analysis
Derrick White continues to be one of the most active Celtics in both scoring and hustle stats, while Towns and Edwards dominate the interior game for Minnesota. Rebounding trends held strong for elite bigs again, and unders on inconsistent scorers like Hart continue to cash. Look for more same-game angles targeting rebounding and combo lines in these tight playoff rotations.
Let’s stay hot as we move toward the next round!
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