We have a concise three-game slate tonight, but the star power is off the charts with marquee matchups including Knicks-Celtics and a Western Conference showdown. We are zoning in on the volume shooters and the players filling up the stat sheet due to injuries around them.
Our proven 3-step model of data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖 is built for long-term success.
Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
👍 Jalen Brunson (NYK) Over 27.5 Points Brunson has been the driving force for this resurgent Knicks team and has pushed his field goal percentage up to a 50% clip over his last five games. He has already dropped 31 points on the Celtics this season and gets a matchup against a Boston defense that allows the third-most three-pointers to point guards. He is also getting to the free-throw line a ton recently, which raises his scoring floor significantly.
👍 Anthony Edwards (MIN) Over 3.5 Three-Pointers “Ant-Man” has found his stroke from deep, hitting this over in five straight games while shooting a scorching 49% from beyond the arc in that span. He faces a Pelicans defense that has been the worst in the league at defending the three recently, allowing the most made threes per game. Edwards takes a ton of shots from above the break, where New Orleans struggles mightily.
🔒 Anthony Edwards (MIN) Over 28.5 Points We are doubling down on Edwards because he is on a mission right now, scoring 30 or more points in five straight games. He is averaging 37 points per game in that stretch and faces a Pelicans defense that ranks dead last in points allowed to shooting guards. This is the best positional matchup on the board for a player who is already performing at an MVP level.
🔒 De’Aaron Fox Over 24.5 Points Fox has been dominating as the main option, clearing this line in four of his last five games. He gets a matchup against the Grizzlies, who struggle to defend the pick-and-roll and give up the third-most points in the league to opposing point guards. With the volume he is seeing right now, he should be able to attack the paint and get his numbers against this defense.
💧 Josh Hart (NYK) Over 8.5 Rebounds Hart has been an absolute machine on the glass since returning to the starting lineup, posting rebound totals of 12, 8, 15, and 12. He is playing huge minutes (averaging around 37 in starts) and faces a Celtics team that ranks 30th in defensive rebounding percentage. Boston gives up a ton of boards, and Hart is one of the best rebounding guards in the league who will chase every loose ball.
💧 Jaylen Brown (BOS) Over 38.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists Brown has been “balling out” lately and his usage rate is through the roof, especially with Derrick White dealing with some bumps and bruises. He has hit this over in 69% of games that stay competitive this season. We expect him to take charge of the offense again tonight and fill up the stat sheet in what should be a close, hard-fought game against New York.
📊 Final Thoughts & Trends Analysis
Tonight’s card is all about usage and defensive liabilities. We are attacking the Pelicans’ perimeter defense with Anthony Edwards and the Celtics’ rebounding woes with Josh Hart. We also love the volume for lead guards like Brunson and Fox who are in prime spots to score against defenses that struggle to contain their specific playstyles.
Check out ReCover3Sports.com for more daily picks, and hit our ReCover 3 Linktree for every platform we’re active on. Good luck today, and let’s keep cashing!
English
Leave a Reply