It’s a massive playoff doubleheader this Sunday with Game 1 between the Cavaliers and Pacers, followed by a Game 7 showdown between the Warriors and Rockets. After hours of proven data-driven research, trend tracking, and AI-powered modeling, we’ve narrowed down the sharpest edges on the board.
Using our proven 3-step model — data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖 — we’ve locked in the top plays for tonight’s action.
Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
🏀 Game 1: Pacers vs Cavaliers
Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 Assists 👍 — Haliburton’s potential assists remain sky-high, and Indiana’s offense relies on his distribution to generate pace and spacing. Cleveland’s defensive pressure is more likely to force him into playmaking mode than scoring mode.
Donovan Mitchell Over 27.5 Points 🔒 — Mitchell has cleared this number in 7 of his last 8 home playoff games and will shoulder the scoring load in Game 1. The Pacers rank bottom-5 in defensive rating in the playoffs and struggle against downhill guards.
Cavaliers -8.5 Spread 💧 — Cleveland is rested and favored for a reason, but Indiana’s pace and hot shooting can lead to late-game swings. This is a lean rather than a firm conviction.
🏀 Game 7: Warriors vs Rockets
Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Threes 👍 — The Game 7 version of Steph is real: he’s hit 5+ threes in 4 of his last 5 Game 7s, including 7-for-18 against the Kings last year. He attempted 16 threes in Game 6 and will be firing again with the season on the line.
Alperen Sengun Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds 🔒 — Sengun has cleared this line in 3 of 6 games and is averaging over 24 rebound chances per game in the last two. He posted 35 P+R in Game 6 despite poor shooting (8-for-20), and the Warriors continue to let him operate freely inside. His usage and minute volume make this our most confident spot.
Warriors Moneyline 💧 — Fading a young Rockets team in a pressure cooker Game 7 isn’t crazy, but the Dubs have been wildly inconsistent on the road and were outplayed in Games 5 and 6. This is a high-variance lean with no clear edge on either side.
📉 Final Thoughts/Trend Analysis
Today’s highest-consensus picks across the industry were Curry Over Threes and Mitchell Over Points, both showing up in at least 4 major betting previews and sharp report recaps. Haliburton’s assist line has quietly climbed in handle on most books, and VanVleet’s points prop has gained traction after his 29-point outing.
We also saw a strong lean toward Alperen Sengun overs, but with usage splitting slightly with Steven Adams and potential foul issues, Curry and FVV were safer high-usage targets. While Cleveland looks like the more trustworthy side in Game 1, Game 7s are volatile — especially with Golden State’s erratic road form.
Let’s stay hot as we move toward the postseason!
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