MLB Best Bets: Props, Locks, & Drops for Wednesday, August 13

Today’s MLB best bets slate gives you two clean strikeout angles and one star bat with multiple paths to two bases. We kept the focus on roles, pitch shapes, and matchups that repeat rather than one-swing outcomes. HR tickets are still live, but they’re priced for ceiling more than floor.

Our model has been dialed in all season long, and to find today’s best value, we’re using our proven 3-step model — data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖.

Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props, 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).

👍 Shohei Ohtani Over 5.5 Strikeouts – Splitter and four-seam create chase under the zone, and his first-pitch strike profile sets up two-strike counts. If he turns the lineup twice with average pitch efficiency, six Ks are in range.

👍 Cristopher Sanchez Over 5.5 Strikeouts – Lefty changeup/slider lanes play into swing-and-miss pockets. Stable workload from recent starts plus ahead-in-count usage gives him multiple routes to reach six.

🔒 Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases – You get volume near the top of the order and elite contact quality. One gap ball covers it, or two clean singles. Late-inning looks against softer arms add extra chances.

💧 Juan Soto To Hit A Home Run – Elite power and lift are always live, but this market pays on a single swing and is often priced like a coin flip. If you want Soto exposure, total bases or H+R+RBI provide more paths.

💧 Pete Alonso To Hit A Home Run – Big bat, similar pricing story. There are steadier ways to back him on this slate without needing perfect launch on one swing.

🔍 Final Thoughts & Trend Analysis

Notes for this slate pointed to selective K overs where pitch mix matches approach, plus hitter props with multiple ways to cash. That’s why we’re on two strikeout lines and Ohtani’s total bases rather than stacking dinger tickets.

If you still want a little HR action, pair one of the Drops with a safer entry like total bases to balance volatility. We’ll keep prioritizing roles with volume and repeatable skills over one-path outcomes.

For more daily picks, breakdowns, and all your betting help, make sure to visit ReCover3Sports.com and our ReCover 3 Linktree! Good luck today, and let’s keep cashing!