Two preseason games highlight tonight’s NFL schedule with plenty of betting angles to attack. The Steelers take on the Panthers in the early matchup, followed by the Patriots visiting the Giants. Depth charts, quarterback rotations, and scoring trends are all critical this time of year, and both games present clear opportunities.
Our model has been dialed in all season long, and to find today’s best value, we’re using our proven 3-step model — data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖.
Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
👍 New York Giants -6.5 vs Patriots – New York has been dominant through two preseason games, outscoring opponents 65-37. Their quarterback rotation is deep, with Jameis Winston, rookie Jaxson Dart, and Tommy DeVito all likely to see time. The Patriots’ backups have been solid, but New York’s offensive firepower and depth make them strong favorites to win by at least a touchdown at home.
👍 Steelers vs Panthers Under 35.5 Total Points – Carolina’s offense has been lifeless, producing just 13 total points across two preseason games. With Bryce Young and Andy Dalton sidelined, the Panthers turn to Jack Plummer and Bryce Perkins, who have struggled to move the ball. Pittsburgh’s defense is deep, and both teams are coming off low-scoring games last week. Clock-draining runs and conservative playcalling make the under appealing.
🔒 Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 vs Panthers – Pittsburgh’s quarterback depth with Skylar Thompson, Mason Rudolph, and Logan Woodside is a clear edge. Carolina is leaning on inexperienced arms, and the Panthers have looked stagnant offensively. With multiple analysts projecting a Steelers win by around a touchdown, laying 4.5 points looks like the sharp play.
🔒 Patriots vs Giants Over 37.5 Total Points – The Giants have been piling up points this preseason, scoring 34 and 31 in their first two games. Rookie QB Jaxson Dart has been efficient and aggressive, while the Patriots put up 48 points in Week 1. With competent quarterback rotations on both sides and recent scoring trends, the total sets up for fireworks.
💧 Jaxson Dart Over 0.5 Passing TDs – Dart has thrown a touchdown in each of his first two preseason games and is expected to get extended run again tonight. His chemistry with New York’s second-string receivers gives him a good chance to connect for at least one more score. Still, as a rookie in preseason, variance is high, making this more of a lean than a core play.
💧 Carolina Panthers Team Total Under 15.5 – The Panthers have scored just 10 and 3 points in their first two preseason games. With Young and Dalton sitting, they rely on backups who have yet to find the end zone. Their team total sits higher than their average output, so the under is logical, though preseason rotations can swing results unexpectedly.
🔍 Final Thoughts & Trend Analysis
Both preseason games offer clear betting opportunities. Pittsburgh’s quarterback depth should control the Panthers, who have struggled badly on offense, making the spread and under both strong options. In the nightcap, the Giants’ explosive preseason attack suggests points will come quickly, pushing the over into play alongside a comfortable New York win. For leans, Dart’s consistent scoring ability and Carolina’s offensive woes stand out, though they’re best treated as secondary plays.
For more daily picks, breakdowns, and all your betting help, make sure to visit ReCover3Sports.com and our ReCover 3 Linktree. Good luck today, and let’s keep cashing!
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