Another massive Sunday of NFL action is here, and the matchups are heating up as teams start to find their identities. For this week’s card, we are mixing things up a bit by including one of our favorite anytime touchdown bets within each of our normal categories.
We continue to find you the best plays for the NFL, NBA, NFL, and beyond thanks to our proven 3-step model of data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖. Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
👍 Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears Over 50.5 Points
This game profiles as a classic shootout. Both teams feature offenses that can move the ball, but more importantly, both defenses are struggling mightily. The Bears’ secondary gave up over 50 points to the Lions last week, while the Cowboys’ defense was just picked apart for 450 passing yards by the Giants. With significant injuries in both secondaries, expect the quarterbacks to air it out and put up points all afternoon.
👍 Rome Odunze (CHI) Anytime Touchdown Scorer
This is a bet on an emerging star who is being heavily featured where it counts most. Odunze has been a touchdown machine to start his season, scoring three times in the first two games and commanding a massive 60% of the team’s red zone targets. He now gets a fantastic matchup against a struggling Cowboys secondary that has been vulnerable to opposing number one wide receivers.
🔒 CeeDee Lamb (DAL) Over 81.5 Receiving Yards
This is a lock built on an elite receiver’s massive volume and a dream matchup. Lamb has been an absolute beast to start the season, clearing 110 receiving yards in both of his first two games. He is dominating the Cowboys’ passing attack with an insane air yard share and is averaging 12 targets per game. He now faces a Chicago Bears secondary that is arguably the most injured and vulnerable unit in the league, having already lost its top cornerbacks for the season.
🔒 Kenneth Walker III (SEA) Anytime Touchdown Scorer
We are locking in the lead back of a run-first offense. The Seahawks have shown they want to establish the ground game, and Walker is their primary weapon. He is coming off an explosive Week 2 performance where he ran for 105 yards and a touchdown, and with his backfield partner Zach Charbonnet questionable with an injury, Walker should see the majority of the high-value touches near the goal line.
💧 Indianapolis Colts Moneyline
This lean is on the hotter team with a clear and effective offensive identity. The Colts are 2-0 for the first time since 2009 and their offense has looked “red-hot.” Their rushing attack, led by Taylor, ranks third in the NFL. They face a Tennessee Titans team that is 0-2 and has struggled to find a rhythm offensively. We’re trusting the more impressive team to continue their winning ways.
💧 Bijan Robinson (ATL) Anytime Touchdown Scorer
This is a bet on an elite, high-usage running back against one of the league’s worst run defenses. Robinson has been a monster to start the season and now faces a Carolina Panthers defense that was gashed on the ground in Week 1. Robinson has a history of dominating this specific opponent, rushing for 170 yards in his last matchup against them. He is a threat to score every time he touches the ball.
📊 Final Thoughts & Trends Analysis
Our Week 3 card is focused on identifying and attacking clear mismatches. Our lock on CeeDee Lamb is a prime example, targeting a top-tier receiver against a defense that is simply too injured to compete. On the other hand, our prop on the Cowboys-Bears total is a bet on both defenses being equally vulnerable, creating a perfect environment for a shootout. The touchdown picks for Rome Odunze, Kenneth Walker, and Bijan Robinson are all based on players with heavy red-zone usage and favorable matchups. As the league starts to separate the contenders from the pretenders, we’re looking to capitalize on these widening gaps in talent and execution.
Check out ReCover3Sports.com for more daily picks, and hit our ReCover 3 Linktree for every platform we’re active on. Good luck today, and let’s keep cashing!
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