The World Series shifts back to Los Angeles tonight for a pivotal Game 3, with the series knotted at one game apiece. After splitting the first two contests in Toronto, both the Blue Jays and Dodgers will look to gain the upper hand as Tyler Glasnow takes the mound for LA against the veteran Max Scherzer for Toronto. It sets up as another exciting chapter in what has already been a compelling series.
Our proven 3-step model of data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖 is built for long-term success. Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
👍 Max Scherzer (TOR) Over 1.5 Walks Scherzer’s walk rate tends to increase significantly when pitching on the road. He issued four walks in a recent postseason start that occurred in a pitcher friendly environment. Facing a deep and patient Dodgers lineup, it is likely he pitches carefully to key hitters, potentially leading to multiple walks.
👍 Shohei Ohtani (LAD) Over 1.5 Total Bases Ohtani returns home where he has hit well this postseason. He faces Max Scherzer, a pitcher who has historically shown vulnerability against powerful left handed hitters, particularly in road games. Ohtani also has a positive history against Scherzer specifically and is positioned for a significant offensive impact from the leadoff spot.
🔒 Toronto Blue Jays / Los Angeles Dodgers Over 8.5 Runs Dodger Stadium is known as a favorable environment for hitters, and both lineups feature considerable offensive firepower. Max Scherzer brings some volatility and potential for allowing runs, while Tyler Glasnow faces Blue Jays hitters who have had success against him in the past. With shadows not expected to be a factor at game time, conditions could favor the offenses.
🔒 George Springer (TOR) Over 1.5 Total Bases Springer has an excellent track record against Dodgers starter Tyler Glasnow, managing six hits in 13 career at bats. He profiles well against Glasnow’s main pitch types, including his four seamer, slider, and sinker. As the leadoff hitter, Springer is guaranteed multiple chances to accumulate total bases.
💧 Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline The Dodgers appear to hold a clear pitching advantage in this matchup, with Tyler Glasnow currently in much better form than the veteran Max Scherzer. Los Angeles also benefits from playing at home, where the Blue Jays have generally performed worse this season. Expect the Dodgers offense to leverage their home field advantage.
💧 Freddy Freeman (LAD) Over 1.5 Total Bases Freeman is one of the most reliable hitters in baseball and had a double in Game 2. He gets a favorable matchup against Max Scherzer, who has struggled with left handed power throughout his career. Freeman has hit multiple home runs against Scherzer historically and should also match up well against the Blue Jays bullpen arms expected to follow.
📊 Final Thoughts & Trends Analysis
Tonight’s betting angles largely revolve around the pitching matchup and historical performance. We see value in fading Max Scherzer, targeting both his walk prop and backing the Dodgers offense through player props like Freeman and Ohtani, and ultimately leaning towards the Dodgers moneyline due to the perceived edge with Glasnow on the mound.
However, Glasnow isn’t without concerns, facing hitters like Springer and Guerrero Jr. who have hit him well historically. This contributes to our confidence in the game total going over, anticipating that both potent offenses can find ways to score against these veteran starters and potentially the bullpens later in the game.
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