It’s Week 13 of the NFL season, and we are mixing things up for this Sunday’s slate. We are dedicating this entire blog to Anytime Touchdowns, focusing exclusively on the players we believe are primed to find the end zone. Whether it’s a quarterback in a bad weather game or a running back in a “smash spot,” we have identified the best scoring opportunities on the board.
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Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
👍 Kyren Williams (LAR) Anytime Touchdown The Panthers have been a favorable matchup for running backs recently, ranking 22nd against the position. Williams has exceeded 64.5 rushing yards in 15 of his last 19 games, showing consistent production that often leads to scoring opportunities. With the Rams looking like contenders, expect them to lean on their lead back to exploit Carolina’s defensive weaknesses.
👍 Jonathan Taylor (IND) Anytime Touchdown The Colts are “monsters at home,” and this sets up as a bounce-back spot for their star running back. The notes indicate that the Texans are a team better to run on than pass on, which funnel volume toward Taylor. Expect Indianapolis to establish the ground game early and look for Taylor to punch it in.
🔒 Josh Allen (BUF) Anytime Touchdown Bad weather is expected in Pittsburgh, and with a banged-up offensive line, Allen will likely need to use his legs. The red zone offense is described as a “two-man show” between him and James Cook. Furthermore, the Steelers blitz at the fourth-highest rate and play heavy man coverage, a combination that forces mobile quarterbacks like Allen to scramble and create plays with their feet.
🔒 De’Von Achane (MIA) Anytime Touchdown Achane is coming off massive back-to-back games with 174 and 120 rushing yards. He is well-rested coming off a bye and has been a scoring machine recently. The strategy for Miami appears to be to “run the ball down their throats,” and Achane’s explosiveness makes him a constant threat to score from anywhere on the field.
💧 Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) Anytime Touchdown This is a lean based on incredible volume and consistency. Smith-Njigba has gone over 97.5 receiving yards in 8 of his 11 games and has exceeded 90 yards in 10 of 11. He is on a historic pace, and with that kind of yardage and usage, he is bound to find the end zone against a Vikings defense that gives up plenty of air yards.
💧 Kenneth Walker (SEA) Anytime Touchdown Walker has posted over 100 rushing and receiving yards in his last two games. The game script projects Seattle to be playing with a lead, which means they should be running the ball more often. With Zach Charbonnet also getting work, Walker remains the primary option to cap off drives with a touchdown in a game Seattle should control.
📊 Final Thoughts & Trends Analysis
This week’s touchdown card is built around volume and matchup advantages. We are backing quarterbacks like Josh Allen who take over in adverse conditions and running backs like Achane and Taylor who are the focal points of their offenses. Even our “drops” are high-volume players in Smith-Njigba and Walker who are putting up massive yardage totals that naturally regress to touchdowns.
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