We are shaking things up for this Sunday’s slate by focusing specifically on spread winners and high-value anytime touchdown scorers. The board offers some incredible mismatches between elite offenses and struggling defenses, and we are ready to attack those spots aggressively. Whether it’s fading spiraling teams or backing red-hot playmakers to find the end zone, we have a diverse card to help build your bankroll.
Our proven 3-step model of data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖 is built for long-term success.
Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
👍 Denver Broncos -7.5 The Raiders are in a freefall, having lost six consecutive games while averaging just 12 points per contest during that span. Denver boasts an elite unit that allows the fourth-fewest points in the NFL and ranks highly in total defense. With Las Vegas sitting at 2-10 and ranking dead last in DVOA over the last six weeks, the Broncos should dominate this matchup, especially in the second half.
👍 Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Jacobs faces a Bears defense that has been vulnerable on the ground, ranking as the fifth-worst unit against the run. While he hasn’t scored in his last two games, this is a perfect “get right” spot for the veteran back against a division rival. We expect him to see plenty of volume near the goal line in what should be a physical game.
🔒 Seattle Seahawks -6.5 Seattle is rolling at 9-3 and currently ranks first in the entire NFL for total DVOA. They are fully healthy on both sides of the ball and face a Falcons team that has dropped six of its last seven games. Atlanta’s offense has been below average under Kirk Cousins, while their pass defense has been the second-worst in the league over the last three weeks, setting up a potential blowout.
🔒 RJ Harvey Anytime Touchdown Harvey has been a touchdown machine, finding the end zone seven times in the last six weeks as his team’s clear number one option. He gets a fantastic matchup against a Raiders defense that allows the third-most rushing touchdowns to running backs this season. Vegas data gives this prop a strong probability of hitting, making it one of our highest-conviction plays.
💧 Chicago Bears +6.5 The Bears have been resilient this season, boasting a 9-3 record and going 5-1 against the spread as underdogs since Week 3. Conversely, the Packers have struggled to cover as favorites, doing so only twice in their last eight tries. Chicago has been solid on the road (5-2 straight up) and has the rushing attack to keep this divisional game within the number.
💧 Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Adams is on an absolute tear, having scored 11 touchdowns in his last six games and scoring in six straight weeks. He has been incredibly efficient in the red zone, turning 12 of his 13 targets from Matthew Stafford into scores. With 14 touchdowns on the year, he remains the focal point of the offense and is a great bet to score again against a banged-up Cardinals defense.
📊 Final Thoughts & Trends Analysis
Our strategy for Week 14 relies on backing teams with significant momentum and statistical dominance. We are trusting the Seahawks and Broncos to cover against opponents who have essentially packed it in for the season. On the player prop side, we are following the volume and recent production of elite scorers like RJ Harvey and Davante Adams, who have consistently proven they can find the end zone regardless of the matchup.
Check out ReCover3Sports.com for more daily picks, and hit our ReCover 3 Linktree for every platform we’re active on. Good luck today, and let’s keep cashing!
English
Leave a Reply