
The Elite 8 showdown between Auburn and Michigan State has the makings of a grinder, and weβre building a same game parlay around our favorite picks. At ReCover 3 Sports, every pick is powered by our proven 3-step model: Data-driven research π, trends analysis π, and AI insights π€.
With both teams fighting for a Final Four berth, expect high energy, high effortβand a few betting angles the books may be overlooking.
Letβs break down the top picks for tonightβs NCAA Tournament action using our exclusive system: π Props (bets we like), π Locks (our favorite bets), and π§ Drops (leans we donβt love but donβt hate).
Johni Broome Over 11.5 Rebounds π β Broome has cleared this number in all three tournament games and remains the most dominant big in this matchup.
Under 147.5 Total Points π β This has been one of the sharpest angles all week, with Auburnβs defense and tournament pace pointing to a lower-scoring grind.
Auburn Moneyline π β The Tigers have been surging on both ends and should control this game with their length, depth, and rebounding.
Jase Richardson 15+ Points π β Richardson has been the most consistent scorer for MSU and will have plenty of usageβeven if Auburn makes it tough on him.
Tahaad Pettiford 12+ Points π§ β Pettiford has flashed serious upside, but his role could fluctuate if Auburn leans on its veterans more in a close game.
Michigan State +5.5 (-110π§ β Thereβs been support for MSU covering, but fading Auburn right now is risky given how complete theyβve looked.
π Final Thoughts / Trend Analysis
Johni Broome continues to be a rebounding force, especially when Auburn shifts into a defense-first mentality. The under has also been a strong play throughout the tournamentβespecially in games with elite defenses and slower tempo.
Auburnβs edge on the boards and in guard play should tilt the game in their favor, but Jase Richardson will need to carry the load for Michigan State to stay close. Pettiford has breakout potential, but itβs hard to bank on consistency in a high-pressure spot.
Overall, this parlay combines two sharp angles with a few well-priced value shots to help maximize return.
π° Follow @ReCover3Sports for more expert picks and daily breakdowns!
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