The MLB season is winding down, but value is still on the board every night as teams jockey for playoff position. Matchups, form, and late-season fatigue all come into play, creating strong betting angles.
To find today’s best value, we’re using our proven 3-step model: data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖.
Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
👍 Riley Greene Over 1.5 Total Bases – Greene has been the Tigers’ hottest bat, slugging over .600 in the past two weeks and racking up 31 home runs on the year. He draws A’s rookie J.T. Ginn, who owns a 6.75 home ERA and has been crushed by lefties in Sacramento’s hitter-friendly park. With Greene barreling everything and Ginn allowing extra-base damage, two total bases is well within reach.
👍 Jacob deGrom Over 7.5 Strikeouts – DeGrom’s elite swing-and-miss stuff meets an Angels lineup missing Mike Trout and striking out at one of the league’s highest rates. The right-hander already has double-digit K games this season, and his slider has produced a whiff rate north of 35%. With Texas leaning on him deep, 8+ strikeouts is very realistic.
🔒 Miami Marlins Moneyline vs Braves – Atlanta’s Spencer Strider has completely lost form, allowing 20 runs across his last three starts. Meanwhile, Miami’s Edward Cabrera owns a 3.52 ERA and has held Braves bats to a .149 average across 67 career at-bats. With Strider in a slump and Cabrera’s track record against this lineup, the Marlins are in a prime spot to pull the upset at home.
💧 Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Under 7.5 Runs – This matchup points toward a pitchers’ duel. DeGrom has a sparkling 2.11 home ERA, while rookie José Soriano has quietly limited opponents to a .599 OPS. With both arms capable of holding these lineups down, the under aligns with multiple projection models.
💧 Cal Raleigh To Hit a Home Run – The Mariners’ catcher is sitting on 49 bombs this season and has crushed left-handed pitching all year. He gets J.P. Sears, who has allowed a homer in six straight outings and 25 overall. Raleigh already has one long ball against Sears in limited at-bats, and given Sears’ extreme home run issues, another shot is very live.
🔍 Final Thoughts & Trend Analysis
We’re leaning into form and matchup edges for these MLB games with Greene’s power surge, deGrom’s strikeout dominance, and a Braves ace in free fall create strong betting angles. Add in spot values like Soriano’s underrated rookie numbers and Raleigh’s power streak, and today’s board offers plenty of sharp opportunities.
Check out ReCover3Sports.com for more daily picks, and hit our ReCover 3 Linktree for every platform we’re active on. Good luck today, and let’s keep cashing!
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