It’s a Friday firestorm on the diamond with a full slate of fresh series and plenty of betting value across the board. We’ve zeroed in on key strikeout matchups, RBI props for red-hot hitters, and a few longshot leans to build around.
Using our 3-step model — data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖 — we’ve locked in the top plays for tonight’s action.
Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: Props (bets we like) 👍, Locks (our favorites) 🔒, and Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate) 💧.
Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 Strikeouts 🔒 — Skubal has been lights out and draws a strikeout-heavy Angels team that’s striking out over 26% vs left-handers. Expect 8+ punchouts again here.
Aaron Judge to Record an RBI 👍 — Judge is mashing again and has RBIs in 3 of his last 4 games. Facing a vulnerable righty in Ryan Pepiot, he’ll get chances with runners on.
Vinnie Pasquantino to Hit a Home Run 💧 — We’ve seen Vinnie flash power this season, but the matchup isn’t ideal, and his xHR rate is slightly inflated. Fun dart, but high variance.
📉 Final Thoughts/Trend Analysis
Skubal continues to dominate the K prop market, and Judge came through with a timely RBI to cash our favorite combo. Pasquantino couldn’t connect deep, but we’ll take 2/3 and roll that momentum into the weekend slate.
Let’s build momentum as the season heats up!
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