🏀 Another day of NBA betting is here, and we’re locked in on the best plays. Our proven 3-step model—data-driven research, trends analysis, and AI insights—has helped us find the top bets for tonight’s action!
Let’s break down the top picks for tonight’s NBA action using our exclusive system of 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorite bets), 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
Daniel Gafford Over 25.5 Points + Rebounds (-200) 🔒
Gafford had a favorable matchup against the Pelicans, who allow the most rebounds per game to centers. The Pelicans’ interior defense has been weak all season, and Gafford has dominated against similar matchups. Given New Orleans’ struggles containing big men, Gafford’s rebounding and scoring upside made this a top-value pick.
Kristaps Porzingis Over 1.5 Threes (-225) 👍
Porzingis has been a consistent shooter from deep, and this matchup against the Bulls was an ideal spot. Chicago allows the second-most three-pointers to centers, and Porzingis had hit this number in eight straight games prior to this matchup. His ability to stretch the floor and knock down open looks made this a high-confidence play.
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-270) 👍
Hartenstein has been thriving in matchups where he sees extended minutes, and Denver’s struggles against rebounding bigs played into this pick. He had hit this number in 15 of his last 18 games when seeing 29+ minutes, and Denver’s defensive schemes left room for opposing centers to take advantage inside.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 Rebounds (-300) 💧
Towns’ rebounding numbers had dipped slightly, but he had still gone over this line in 10 of his last 13 games. Denver allows the sixth-most rebounds per game to centers, and Towns grabbed 15 boards in his last matchup against them. While it wasn’t a lock, the matchup and past trends made this a playable lean.
📊 Final Thoughts/Trend Analysis
• Gafford’s rebounding prop stood out as a strong play given New Orleans’ struggles against big men.
• Porzingis’ three-point prop was a popular pick, as the Bulls consistently allow open shots from deep to stretch bigs.
• Hartenstein’s prop was widely backed, with multiple sources highlighting his role and Denver’s defensive weaknesses.
• Towns’ rebounding line was seen as a lean, as his rebounding numbers had been inconsistent despite a favorable matchup.
Good luck everyone… let’s go for another winning night! 🚀🏀
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