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NFL Week 2 Bets: Props, Locks, & Drops for Sunday, September 14

The NFL season rolls into Week 2, and the storylines are already taking shape. We saw some surprising upsets and dominant performances in the opening weekend, and now we get to see how teams respond. Whether it’s a bounce-back spot for a contender or a chance for an underdog to prove Week 1 was no fluke, it’s a fantastic slate for bettors. That hasn’t stopped our proven 3-step model of data-driven research 📊trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖 from uncovering some juicy angles on the slate.

Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate). On top of that, we’re featuring our three favorite Anytime Touchdown bets in a separate section below.

👍 Dallas Cowboys -5.5 (Spread) This is a classic case of a dominant quarterback facing a team he has owned throughout his career. Dak Prescott has an incredible 13-2 straight-up record against the Giants and has consistently covered the spread against them. The Cowboys have a massive advantage in the trenches against a New York offensive line that was just gashed for 220 rushing yards in Week 1. In their home opener, expect Dallas to apply relentless pressure and win this game comfortably.

👍 DeVonta Smith (PHI) Over 56.5 Receiving Yards This prop is a prime opportunity to capitalize on an injury situation. With Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert out, DeVonta Smith is set to see a significant increase in targets. In the 10 career games he has played without Goedert, Smith has cleared this line seven times, averaging nearly 79 receiving yards. Combined with his history of success against the Chiefs—averaging 97.5 yards per game in his career—this is a fantastic spot for him.

🔒 CeeDee Lamb (DAL) Over 76.5 Receiving Yards This is a perfect bounce-back spot for one of the league’s elite receivers. After a few uncharacteristic drops in Week 1, CeeDee Lamb returns home, where his connection with Dak Prescott is electric. Since 2023, Lamb has averaged 109 receiving yards per game at home with Prescott under center. He faces a Giants secondary that has historically had no answer for him, making this a prime opportunity for a huge performance.

🔒 Baltimore Ravens -11.5 (Spread) Trust the powerful trend of a motivated Lamar Jackson after a loss. Since 2023, the Ravens are an incredible 8-1 against the spread in games following a defeat, often winning in blowout fashion. They now return home to face a Cleveland Browns offense that is considered unimpressive and one-dimensional. Expect a refocused Ravens team to dominate this game from start to finish and win by at least two touchdowns.

💧 Brenton Strange (JAX) Over 33.5 Receiving Yards This is a classic matchup-based lean. Brenton Strangeemerged as the Jaguars’ leading receiver in Week 1 with 59 yards, demonstrating a clear connection with his quarterback. He now gets an excellent matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals, who were statistically the worst defense in the entire NFL against the tight end position last season. Expect the Jaguars to exploit this defensive weakness.

💧 Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline In a tight Super Bowl rematch, we are leaning toward the team that is healthier and arguably more well-rounded right now. While it’s always tough to bet against Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs are dealing with injuries on their offensive line that could be a deciding factor against the Eagles’ formidable defensive front. In a game that could go either way, we’ll take the team with the clearer path to imposing their will in the trenches.

🏈 Our Favorite Anytime Touchdown Bets

Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) Anytime Touchdown Scorer Expect a “get-right” game for one of the league’s top offensive players. After being held quiet in Week 1, the Bengals will almost certainly make it a priority to get their best receiver involved early and often. Against a Jaguars defense that is not considered a shutdown unit, Chase is a prime candidate to find the end zone.

Derrick Henry (BAL) Anytime Touchdown Scorer When the Ravens get near the goal line in a game they are expected to win handily, Derrick Henry is the primary option. In a bounce-back spot where Baltimore should have no trouble moving the ball, betting on their designated short-yardage weapon to punch one in is one of the strongest plays on the board.

Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Anytime Touchdown Scorer The Lions are expected to put their disappointing Week 1 performance behind them in their home opener against a rival. Jahmyr Gibbs is a dynamic and essential part of their offense, both as a runner and a receiver. Look for him to be at the center of their scoring efforts as they look to make a statement.

📊 Final Thoughts & Trends Analysis

The main theme for our Week 2 card is backing proven teams and players in bounce-back or “get-right” spots. Our locks on the Ravens and CeeDee Lamb are built on powerful historical trends and elite players returning to their dominant form at home. Our props are focused on exploiting key injuries and clear schematic mismatches, as seen with DeVonta Smith and Brenton Strange. The Anytime Touchdown market offers great value this week, and we’re targeting the undisputed offensive focal points of teams that are expected to score plenty of points. As the season unfolds, we’ll get a clearer picture of every team, but in Week 2, we’re trusting the established talent to deliver.

Check out ReCover3Sports.com for more daily picks, and hit our ReCover 3 Linktree for every platform we’re active on. Good luck today, and let’s keep cashing!

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