Week 6 kicks off with a classic NFC East rivalry as the Philadelphia Eagles travel to MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants. For tonight’s primetime card, we’re mixing in some of our favorite anytime touchdown scorer props alongside our standard bets. We are also backing the impressive rookie quarterback, Jaxon Dart, to continue making plays with his legs against a tough Eagles defense.
Our proven 3-step model of data-driven research 📊, trends analysis 📈, and AI insights 🤖 has been dialed in all season, and we’re ready to apply it to the playoffs.
Let’s break down our picks using our exclusive system: 👍 Props (bets we like), 🔒 Locks (our favorites), and 💧 Drops (leans we don’t love but don’t hate).
👍 Saquon Barkley (PHI) Over 79.5 Rushing Yards
This is the perfect breakout and revenge game spot for Saquon Barkley. He is facing his former team, which fields one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, allowing a league-high 5.6 yards per carry to running backs. After getting only six carries last week, the Eagles are expected to get back to their run-heavy identity and feed their star running back, who ran for 176 yards in his last matchup against the Giants.
👍 Cam Skattebo (NYG) Anytime Touchdown
This play is all about role and value. Skattebo has a strong red zone role, handling all eight of the team’s running back carries in the red zone through the first three weeks and converting two of them for touchdowns. Even with Tyrone Tracy Jr. returning, Skattebo is expected to get the crucial goal-line and two-minute work, making his plus-money odds to score a touchdown a fantastic value play.
🔒 Jaxon Dart (NYG) Over 36.5 Rushing Yards
The rookie quarterback has been electric with his legs, rushing for over 50 yards in both of his starts this season. With top receivers Malik Nabers and Darius Slayton both out, the Giants’ game plan will have to lean on Dart’s mobility through scrambles and designed runs. He faces an Eagles defense that has allowed mobile quarterbacks to find success on the ground, making this a prime spot for Dart to use his athleticism.
🔒 Jalen Hurts (PHI) Anytime Touchdown
Jalen Hurts has gone two consecutive games without a rushing touchdown, something he hasn’t done in two years, making him due for a score. He has a history of finding the end zone against the Giants, scoring twice in their last meeting. Given his high volume of red zone carries and the effectiveness of the “tush push,” Hurts remains one of the most reliable touchdown threats in the league, especially in a game where the Eagles are expected to control the goal line.
💧 Philadelphia Eagles -7
The Eagles are the far superior team and are in a prime bounce-back spot after a frustrating loss, making them a strong candidate to win by double digits. However, Philadelphia has not won a single game by more than seven points this season, and divisional underdogs on a short week often play surprisingly tough. While we lean towards the Eagles covering, we can easily see the Giants doing just enough to keep this within the spread, which is why we are likely staying away.
💧 Jaxon Dart (NYG) Anytime Touchdown
As a dynamic runner, Jaxon Dart is always a threat to find the end zone with his legs, as he proved by scoring a rushing touchdown in his first career start. The Eagles’ primary defensive weakness has been against the run, where they rank 31st in success rate allowed. In a game where the Giants will need to get creative to score, leaning on their quarterback’s mobility near the goal line is a very likely part of the game plan.
📊 Final Thoughts & Trends Analysis Tonight’s card centers on a classic bounce-back spot for a superior team and the dynamic rushing ability of both quarterbacks. Our locks are built around this theme, backing Jaxon Dart to use his legs against a formidable defense and Jalen Hurts to continue his touchdown prowess at the goal line. The main narrative is Saquon Barkley’s revenge game against his former team’s league-worst run defense, making his rushing prop a confident play. While the Eagles should dominate, Thursday night divisional games are notoriously unpredictable, which is why we’re leaning away from the spread and focusing on player performance instead.
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