
The Sweet 16 continues tonight with four massive matchups, and weβve got a curated breakdown of the most popular sides, totals, and player props bettors are riding into the Elite 8.
At ReCover 3 Sports, every pick we make is powered by our proven 3-step model: Data-driven research π, trends analysis π, and AI insights π€.
We also combed through expert picks, sharp movements, and consensus prop targets across the betting spaceβgiving you a fully curated board from every angle.
Letβs break down the four marquee matchups:
(2) Michigan State vs. (6) Ole Miss
Michigan State -3.5 β Multiple sources called this a rebounding mismatch and a defensive edge for the Spartans.
Under 141.5 Total Points β Sharps and analysts circled this as a slow-paced, halfcourt grinder.
Jase Richardson 15+ Points β Richardson has become MSUβs most consistent offensive option and should be the focal point again.
(2) Tennessee vs. (3) Kentucky
Tennessee Moneyline β Tennessee got strong support from CBS, Action Network, and bracket trends due to their defense and physicality.
Under 145.5 Total Points β Dome environment plus two physical teams made this the most mentioned under of the slate.
Zakai Zeigler 15+ Points β Zeigler has been red hot and should thrive against Kentuckyβs up-tempo pace.
(1) Auburn vs. (5) Michigan
Auburn -6.5 β Auburnβs depth, tempo, and rim protection make them one of the most confidently backed teams in the Sweet 16.
Under 143.5 Total Points β Michiganβs slower tempo and Auburnβs elite defense both point toward the under.
Johni Broome 20+ Points β Broome has dominated inside all tournament and remains a mismatch for Michiganβs front line.
(1) Houston vs. (4) Purdue
Houston Moneyline β This one split analysts, but the sharpest data leaned on Houstonβs defense and physicality.
Over 135.5 Total Points β Purdueβs tempo and offensive efficiency push this into over territory.
JβWan Roberts 10+ Points β Roberts needs to step up offensively in a game where Houston will need every bucket.
π Final Thoughts & Trends
- Auburn -6.5 was the most confidently backed spread of the day.
- Under in Tennessee vs. Kentucky was the most commonly mentioned total.
- Jase Richardson, Zakai Zeigler, Johni Broome, and JβWan Roberts were the most highlighted player props from our notes.
π° Follow @ReCover3Sports for more expert picks and daily breakdowns!

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